A global survey of business leaders released on Tuesday shows that while most expect China to dominate the world economy in a decade’s time, it won’t be through innovation.

　　周二发布的一项在对全球商界领袖的调查显示，大部分受访者预计，中国将在未来10年引领世界经济，但并非通过创新来实现这一点。

　　In fact, over a third of those surveyed by the Harvard Business Review thought China already was the global economic leader, but ranked the country only just ahead of Japan in terms of innovation, and way behind the US.

　　实际上，在《哈佛商业评论》(Harvard Business Review)进行的这项调查中，超过三分之一的受访者认为中国已然是全球经济的领导者。但在创新力排名上，中国仅勉强排在日本之前，远远落后于美国。

　　Adi Ignatius, editor of the HBR, commented that “half of the respondents expect China to surpass the US as the global economic leader in the next ten years. On the other hand, there’s debate among this group about whether China is capable of overtaking the US as the leading source of innovation as well. Most think not.”

　　《哈佛商业评论》主编阿迪?伊格内休斯(Adi Ignatius)评论道：“一半受访者预计中国将在未来10年超过美国，成为全球经济的领导者。至于中国是否同样能够取代美国成为最大的创新来源，这个问题还存在争议。大部分受访者持否定意见。”

　　Comments made by respondents also questioned whether China and India had the economic policies and internal structures to sustain their explosive economic growth.

　　受访者还对中国和印度是否具备维持爆炸性经济增长的经济政策和内部结构提出了质疑。

　　While beyondbrics has a healthy scepticism of surveys, the HBR research did meet the criteria to be taken seriously (1,379 respondents, sensible questions) - and shows that the prevailing narrative of Chinese dominance is not universally shared.

　　尽管Beyondbrics对问卷调查持善意的怀疑态度，但《哈佛商业评论》的这项调查却达到了相关标准（有1379名受访者，问题选得合理），值得认真对待。这项调查还显示出，时下盛行的中国优势论并不被普遍接受。

　　Which country is the most innovative in the world?

　　哪个国家是全球最具创新力的国家？

　　US 46.3% 　　　美国 46.3%

　　China 10.4% 　　中国 10.4%

　　Japan 8.5% 　　日本 8.5%

　　India 6.0%　　　 印度 6.0%

　　Germany 4.4% 　德国 4.4%

　　South Korea 2.8% 　韩国 2.8%

　　Brazil 2.2% 　　巴西 2.2%

　　Singapore 2.1% 　　新加坡 2.1%

　　Israel 2.0% 　　以色列 2.0%

　　Switzerland 2.0% 　　瑞士 2.0%

　　source: HBR 　　来源: 《哈佛商业评论》

　　But the location of respondents – primarily based in North America (38.8 percent) and Europe (34.4 percent), with only ten percent in Asia – may explain why Asian innovation was given such a low score.

　　但受访者的地理分布——主要来自于北美（38.8%）和欧洲（34.4%），亚洲只占10%——或许能够解释为什么亚洲的创新力获得如此之低的评价。

　　More importantly, the high score for the US in innovation but its predicted fall from economic power shows that most business leaders don’t think the country can innovate its way out of debt.

　　更重要的是，尽管美国在创新方面获得高分，但受访者预计其经济实力将会下降，这表明大部分商界领袖认为美国不可能靠创新摆脱债务。